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The central bank's current chief, Jerome Powell, is yet to defeat his mythical beast — and Wall Street is getting worried. Powell warned on Wednesday that the Fed's fight against inflation isn't over after annualized price growth accelerated to 3.2% in February. AdvertisementRaising the alarmBank of America analysts have suggested that stubborn inflation could mean the Fed doesn't start cutting rates until March next year. It's no wonder, then, that investors are waiting impatiently for the Fed to cut rates. Fundstrat's famously bullish boss, Tom Lee, proclaimed this week that it's dropping "like a rock" and the first rate cut is still likely to be in June.
Persons: , Paul Volcker, Jerome Powell, Powell, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, Greenlight, Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, Gary Shilling, Julia La Roche, We've, Merrill Lynch's, they've, Shilling, It's, Fundstrat's, Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, of America, CNBC, Trust, Wall Street, Fed
Market prophet Gary Shilling issued a raft of dire warnings to investors in an interview this week. Stocks may crash 30%, a recession is imminent, and commercial real estate is a bubble about to burst, he said. AdvertisementStocks could crater by 30%, the US economy is careening toward recession, and commercial real estate is a bubble about to burst, a legendary market prophet warned this week. "I think the biggest bubble right now is commercial real estate. This isn't of the magnitude of the subprime-mortgage bonanza, but I think it is a bubble which is beginning to crack."
Persons: Gary Shilling, Shilling, , Julia La Roche, I've, they've, we're, John Paulson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve
Stocks could plummet by as much as 30%, a legendary Wall Street forecaster has said. He said he was betting on Treasury bonds and the US dollar and against stocks and commodities. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementPrepare for stocks to plunge by a third and a recession to strike imminently, a legendary market forecaster has said. "You'd have a further decline of about 30% from here to get that 40% overall decline, peak to trough," he said.
Persons: Gary Shilling, , I've, Julia La Roche, we're, Shilling, Merrill Lynch's, he's Organizations: Wall, Service, Co, Reserve
Bill Ackman's first stock was Wells Fargo, and Warren Buffett was a key factor in his choice. Ackman determined Wells Fargo, which counted Buffett as a big shareholder, was oversold at the time. "My first actual investment was I bought Wells Fargo stock," Ackman recalled. "I had already started following Warren Buffett, and he was a big shareholder at a much higher price." Moreover, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway had taken a position in Wells Fargo the previous year.
Persons: Bill Ackman's, Wells Fargo, Warren Buffett, Ackman, Buffett, Pershing, Julia La Roche, they'd, Justin Sullivan, Wells, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett imprimatur Organizations: Wells, Service, Harvard Business School, Harvard, Bank Locations: Wells, Wall, Silicon, Wells Fargo
Bill Ackman predicts more pain for regional banks and commercial real estate as interest rates bite. Ackman warns AI will be hugely disruptive, and predicts Elon Musk's X will ultimately succeed. "The commercial real estate picture has not gotten better. You're going to start seeing real defaults, particularly with office assets. The pressure on the regional banking system — you're going to start to see more of it come now on the commercial real estate side."
Persons: Bill Ackman, Elon Musk's, Ackman, Julia La Roche, Elon, We've, it's, Elon Musk Organizations: Pershing Square, Service, Twitter Locations: Wall, Silicon, Elon Musk's
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House, central bank nominees are talking to the Senate, and the Washington Wizards traded away their star hooper. Powell spoke before the House Financial Services Committee yesterday following 10 consecutive interest rate hikes and one rate "skip" that the Fed chief made sure to clarify wasn't a "pause." "Given how far we've come, it may make sense to move rates higher but to do so at a more moderate pace," Powell said Wednesday. So far, the economy has been more resilient than expected, even as the fed funds rate hovers in the 5% to 5.25% range. US stock futures fall early Thursday, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said more rate hikes are likely ahead.
Persons: I'm Phil Rosen, Jerome Powell, hooper, Anna Moneymaker, Powell, that's, Patrick McHenry, Tesla, Goldman Sachs, there's, Julia La Roche, Ed Yardeni, isn't, BofA's Savita Subramanian, Apple isn't, Read, Phil Rosen, Jason Ma, Hallam Bullock, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: Senate, Washington Wizards, Financial Services, Fed, Nvidia, Apple, Business, Federal, Accenture, Volex, Bank of America, . Locations: New York, Los Angeles, London
China's yuan is gaining increasing usage globally, pointing to the de-dollarization of transactions worldwide — graduallyChina's yuan slid on Monday. Future Publishing/Getty ImagesThe US dollar has been the world's reserve currency since the second world war, playing an outsized role in the world's trade. Amid these dire tidings, the Chinese yuan is seizing the opportunity and is mounting a challenge to the dollar's dominance. Of course, it does create a desire on the part of China, of Russia, of Iran to find an alternative," Yelled said. Read further for five countries that have recently turned to the yuan for trade and other transactions — either to skirt sanctions or as an alternative to the greenback.
Global central banks are less willing to hold the dollar, billionaire investor Ray Dalio said. One reason is that China's share of global trade is rising while the US share is falling. Another is that Western sanctions against Russia have exposed new risks for holding dollar assets. But, with China increasing the yuan's use in global trade, the future necessity for the greenback may be ebbing. Those sanctions "increased the perceived risk that those debt assets can be frozen in the way that they've been frozen for Russia," Dalio said.
Still, no matter what the Consumer Price Index clocks in at, it's possible that the failures of Signature Bank and Silicon Valley Bank already convinced Jerome Powell to take his foot off the gas. Silicon Valley Bank employees react to the bank's collapse Getty Images1. With the government rescuing Signature and Silicon Valley Bank depositors, not all the downside has been contained, according to Wharton finance professor, Itamar Drechsler. Silicon Valley Bank's CEO, Greg Becker, previously asked Congress to ease regulatory oversight on the bank. But, as Jefferies analysts put it, "the world changed" with Silicon Valley Bank's failure.
Getty ImagesThe competitive nature of playing a sport has helped a lot of folks succeed on Wall Street. Wall Street is littered with top tennis players. That's because many of the tennis players on Wall Street know each other very well and feel comfortable doing business together. What's more, a bunch of the younger players met their employers on the court, and certain firms just love tennis players in general. In short, the tennis court is great place for networking in general.
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